Skip to main content


Got any good books to recommend?

Greatest Hits from Working the Net:

Harlow Salon - one of the very best hair salons in Nashville TN.

You Gonna Window Shop All Day, Or What?

One wouldn't exactly say "the party never stops" when it comes to the NHL Trade Deadline, especially since that deadline is indeed next Tuesday, but you could just about say "the party never starts" instead.  Despite incessant rumor-mongering and speculation, we've had nothing but scraps come in lately in terms of NHL trades, with the lone exception of last week's Carolina/Ottawa four-player swap.  But just in case GM David Poile gets the urge to start shopping for his Nashville Predators this weekend while I'm not close to the keyboard, I thought I'd leave some thoughts on the matter:
What the Preds need:  A serviceable Top Six forward, especially if Martin Gelinas' knee injury turns out to be a season-ender.  Rich Peverley has done fine work in a short stint, and yes, Kevin Klein has been attending Winger School in Milwaukee, but this team needs an offensive threat to help spark David Legwand and Martin Erat, who have been slumping of late.  I've been jumping up and down for weeks regarding Vaclav Prospal being my first choice on this front (based on ability, affordability, and upcoming free agency), but I wouldn't rule out a good centerman, either, if one were obtainable (cough, cough, Sergei Fedorov).
What the Preds can give up:  The obvious trading asset is the depth on the blue line, with eight able bodies on the active roster.  Ryan Suter may be the most tradeable one of the bunch, in that he's a proven performer who's about to get a significant raise in his next contract.  Klein and Ville Koistinen could step into the lineup for the next season or two at bargain-basement prices, without too much dropoff in performance, and the money that would have gone to Suter could instead be applied to either the player gained in trade, or another free agent acquisition this summer.
If the deal were a real knockout, Nashville could perhaps deal Dan Ellis, considering the season that Pekka Rinne is having down on the farm in Milwaukee, but that might stretch the goaltending depth too thin for Mr. Poile's liking.  There do seem to be a number of cheap goalies available on the free agency market this summer, so this might not be a bad idea, planning for a 2008-9 with Chris Mason & a veteran backup in Nashville, and Rinne continuing to mature in Milwaukee.
Certainly, the Preds shouldn't (and probably won't) trade away the draft picks they've been stocking up, particularly the #1 from Florida in the upcoming draft.  Who knows what might happen, there's an outside chance that Nashville could have the top pick overall if things work out right over the next several weeks.
Anyways, Mr. Poile, just review this before working the phones this weekend, in case you can't reach me to personally review a deal before you pull the trigger... 

Popular posts from this blog

How I'm Trying To Make Money Sports Blogging

To kick off this series of articles general sports-blogging articles here at OTF Classic, I think it's best to start with a comment that Brad left here last week, after I shared my goals for 2012, which include specific revenue targets:
I considered diving into the world of internet marketing myself, but I felt that my friends would hate me for bugging them about stuff. I mean, it's pretty low-risk high-reward, so it's tempting. I wouldn't mind reading about tips on how to maximize impact of blogging in general to make it a legitimate income source. Trying to make money at sports blogging can be a very touchy subject - for the vast majority of us, this is an activity we pursue to both exercise our creativity and share our love of the game, whether it's hockey, football, badminton, whatever, with fellow fans. Mixing that personal conversation with a commercial message can turn people off, especially if it becomes too intrusive for the reader.

It's not unreasonabl…

Canadian Baloney, starring James Mirtle

A tireless refrain from the Canadian media is that Nashville is an absolute failure as a hockey market, and failing to move the team north of the border is an exercise in folly by the NHL.

Our latest exhibit comes from James Mirtle, usually one of the more thoughtful hockey bloggers extant:
But Nashville, quite simply, has proven it cannot sustain an NHL hockey team. Even with the lowest ticket prices in the entire league (I know: I've looked into flying there for a game or two) and a ridiculously forgiving arena lease, the team has had attendance issues despite having one of the best records in the league.

It's not a matter of Canadians not wanting teams in the southern U.S.; I've argued time and again in favour of teams like Dallas and Tampa Bay that have supported their teams and really brought something to the table in terms of bringing news fans and new energy to the game. That's a good thing.

The Predators, however, are not that, not in the beginning and certainly no…

Hooray for PythagenPuck

Back in November, around the quarter-mark of the NHL regular season, I wrote a piece looking at Expected Winning Percentages for each team, based on their Goals For/Goals Against ratio, using the PythagenPuck method as outlined in Alan Ryder's "Win Probabilities" article over at Hockey Analytics. Since we're approaching the end of the campaign, I thought it worth revisiting the two assertions I made back in November - that the Ottawa Senators were capable of getting back into the playoff race, and that the Boston Bruins were in danger of a freefall to the bottom of the standings.

Just to review, the basic idea behind win probability models like PythagenPuck is that over the course of a season, the Goals For and Goals Against numbers can be used to derive a team's winning percentage, within a a surprisingly narrow margin of error. For instance, if you only had GF/GA information, you could make a very good stab at projecting what the standings would look like. The w…