Skip to main content


Got any good books to recommend?

Greatest Hits from Working the Net:

Harlow Salon - one of the very best hair salons in Nashville TN.

Predators Coming Home For Leftovers

The Predators come home to face the Phoenix Coyotes tonight at the Sommet Center, and need to get back on track (not "untracked") after last night's 4-1 drubbing by the St. Louis Blues. Nashville is fortunate to also catch the Coyotes playing on back-to-back nights, as they come in from Columbus after having been beaten 3-0 by the Blue Jackets (recap to be found at Army of the Ohio).
The Phoenix Coyotes have scored just 4 goals in 3 games so far.

Some bite-size facts:

Phoenix captain
Shane Doan turned 31 yesterday (hence the spanking by

The Coyotes have a triumverate of goaltenders they're sorting through, so the Preds won't see David Aebischer, who played Wednesday against the Blue Jackets. According to the
Arizona Republic, Auld gets the nod tonight.

If this game goes to the shootout, here are some relevant goaltending numbers. For total save percentages in the shootout (covering both 2005-6 and 2006-7), Auld sports a woeful .567 for Phoenix, while Chris Mason stands at .760 for Nashville (average is .667). Auld hasn't faced any current Predators in the shootout, and the only current Coyote that Mason has faced is Radim Vrbata, who scored in one attempt last year.

The top shooters for each team in the shootout (both seasons total, minimum 5 attempts) would be Shane Doan (.500), Steve Reinprecht (.400), and Radim Vrbata (.308) for Phoenix, and Alexander Radulov (.500), Martin Erat (.333), and Marek Zidlicky (.167) for Nashville. This is one area where the Predators will miss Paul Kariya, who stands 2nd in shootout scoring percentage at .667.

My Call:

My guess is that this won't make it to the shootout, as Nashville notches a convincing win, something like 3-1 or so.

Popular posts from this blog

How I'm Trying To Make Money Sports Blogging

To kick off this series of articles general sports-blogging articles here at OTF Classic, I think it's best to start with a comment that Brad left here last week, after I shared my goals for 2012, which include specific revenue targets:
I considered diving into the world of internet marketing myself, but I felt that my friends would hate me for bugging them about stuff. I mean, it's pretty low-risk high-reward, so it's tempting. I wouldn't mind reading about tips on how to maximize impact of blogging in general to make it a legitimate income source. Trying to make money at sports blogging can be a very touchy subject - for the vast majority of us, this is an activity we pursue to both exercise our creativity and share our love of the game, whether it's hockey, football, badminton, whatever, with fellow fans. Mixing that personal conversation with a commercial message can turn people off, especially if it becomes too intrusive for the reader.

It's not unreasonabl…

Canadian Baloney, starring James Mirtle

A tireless refrain from the Canadian media is that Nashville is an absolute failure as a hockey market, and failing to move the team north of the border is an exercise in folly by the NHL.

Our latest exhibit comes from James Mirtle, usually one of the more thoughtful hockey bloggers extant:
But Nashville, quite simply, has proven it cannot sustain an NHL hockey team. Even with the lowest ticket prices in the entire league (I know: I've looked into flying there for a game or two) and a ridiculously forgiving arena lease, the team has had attendance issues despite having one of the best records in the league.

It's not a matter of Canadians not wanting teams in the southern U.S.; I've argued time and again in favour of teams like Dallas and Tampa Bay that have supported their teams and really brought something to the table in terms of bringing news fans and new energy to the game. That's a good thing.

The Predators, however, are not that, not in the beginning and certainly no…

Hooray for PythagenPuck

Back in November, around the quarter-mark of the NHL regular season, I wrote a piece looking at Expected Winning Percentages for each team, based on their Goals For/Goals Against ratio, using the PythagenPuck method as outlined in Alan Ryder's "Win Probabilities" article over at Hockey Analytics. Since we're approaching the end of the campaign, I thought it worth revisiting the two assertions I made back in November - that the Ottawa Senators were capable of getting back into the playoff race, and that the Boston Bruins were in danger of a freefall to the bottom of the standings.

Just to review, the basic idea behind win probability models like PythagenPuck is that over the course of a season, the Goals For and Goals Against numbers can be used to derive a team's winning percentage, within a a surprisingly narrow margin of error. For instance, if you only had GF/GA information, you could make a very good stab at projecting what the standings would look like. The w…